The Zig Zag theory
The Zig Zag theory works best in a series when two competitive teams play. The strategy fits any series in a 2-2-1-1-1 format, where two games are played on the court of one team, then two games on the court of the other team, and again the courts alternate.
You are betting on a team that has lost its previous game in a playoff series. The strategy is applied in betting on 7-match playoff series in hockey or basketball.
The losing team will most often pay more attention to the tactical analysis of their loss and will try to show a better result in the next match to avoid being eliminated from the series. As a rule, the chances of such a team winning are more than 50%.
The winning team, on the other hand, will make fewer changes to their game. It can be added that the losing team is quoted lower, which increases the odds.
ZIG ZAG STRATEGY STATISTICS
It must be said that the team that lost the first game at home is likely to win the second game with a probability of 76%. Therefore, you should not bet big on random away wins by weak teams. The second game is on. The team that loses the first meeting, the second can win with a probability of 56%.
If the favorite wins the first two games with a 2-0 score, the play-off series moves to the outsider’s playing court. At home, the underdog feels more comfortable, stronger, more confident. The percentage of such home wins is quite high: from 65% to 68%.
I note that the favorites, who were defeated in the last match by 4 points or more, most often win the next match with a probability of 58.7%. This statistic is a help to the player. The Zigzag strategy is profitable when the player correctly identifies a series where both teams are correctly priced in the market.
ZIG ZAG STRATEGY IN NBA
Looking at playoff history, NBA teams win 64.5% of their games at home and 55.3% in the NHL. Bookmakers pay more attention to this factor when drawing up a line and more often give preference to the hosts, especially if a victory is won in the first game.
According to statistics, only 34% of the play-off teams win the second match after losing the first match away. But this does not mean that betting on guests is not profitable. 34% is a third of all games. Most of the bettors will bet high on the hosts, which as a result will raise the odds on the guests, making it profitable.
ZIG ZAG STRATEGY IN NHL
Most often, the team that loses in the series 0:3 wins the fourth game. But the score of 4:0 in the series is much less common than 3:1. Cappers note that since 2005, a team that lost with a score of 0:3 will most often win in the fourth game.
Also, the clubs that lost 0:3 and played the fourth match on their ice arena have a win-loss ratio of 16:12 (which is 57.1% of wins). The teams that played the fourth game on the road will have a ratio of 10:7 (where wins are 58.8%)
When placing bets using the Zig Zag strategy, you should not rely only on the statistical base. Better to take into account other factors of the game.
As a player, you must understand that Zig Zag is not a win-win strategy or system. However, sports betting enthusiasts can apply it wisely and effectively under certain circumstances.